Summary:

  • Microsoft and Google are negotiating multi-year DRAM supply agreements with SK Hynix, introducing price floor guarantees and upfront deposits (10–30%), an unprecedented structure in the memory industry.

  • The contracts, expected to last around 3 years, mark a shift from traditional short-term purchasing cycles due to historically volatile DRAM pricing.

  • This model is expanding across the industry, with similar negotiations involving Samsung Electronics, and Micron Technology reportedly already signing comparable agreements.

  • The shift is driven by AI infrastructure demand, causing severe DRAM and HBM supply shortages, with prices rising sharply (DDR4 up nearly 10x YoY).

  • Tech companies are changing strategy from price optimization to securing supply, treating DRAM as a strategic resource rather than a commodity.

  • Memory manufacturers (Samsung and SK Hynix) are expanding production, and are expected to deliver record earnings, supported by tight supply, long-term contracts, and improved cash flow visibility.

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