Summary:

  • Sharp Price Increase in Rare Earth Concentrates
    Baotou Steel (600010.SH) and China Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) raised Q2 2026 rare earth concentrate prices to RMB 38,804/ton, a 44.6% QoQ increase.

  • Sustained Uptrend in Pricing
    Prices have been increased for seven consecutive quarters since Q4 2024, signaling strong and persistent market demand.

  • Tightening Supply-Demand Outlook
    Forecasts suggest growing global supply deficits in rare earths (especially Pr-Nd oxide) from 2025 to 2028, supporting a long-term price uptrend.

  • Strong Demand from Emerging Industries
    Key growth drivers include:

    • Electric vehicles

    • Humanoid robots

    • Low-altitude economy (e.g., drones)

  • Improving Profitability Across the Sector
    China Rare Earth (600259.SH) expects 200%+ YoY profit growth, driven by higher prices and better operations.

  • Industry-Wide Earnings Recovery
    Major players like China Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and China Rare Earth Holdings (00769.HK) are reporting strong earnings growth or turnaround, reflecting the favorable pricing environment.

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